![]() This is the fourth game for both the Celtics and the Knicks. As such, building something around an alt over, alongside Jaylen Brown 3s and points, would be a good look.Boston Celtics (1-2) vs New York Knicks (1-2) Plus, DraftKings has been handing out several SGP boosts, and FanDuel has their risk-free SGPs for TNT Thursday. But in a high-action game like I see this one being, it's a much better fit. Because there is no 'no' market on most bets offered in a same-game parlay, they can often be disadvantageous to the bettor. Buying something like over 236.5 (+200) would be a suggested play.įinally, another bet type I don't always advise is the same-game parlay. Typically, I don't suggest buying points on an alt line, but in certain cases - when the extremes are being undervalued - I can get behind it. In fact, escalators on either the Celtics team total, or the game total are another great way to attack this game. That should come in around 117 or 117.5, but I would play it all the way up to 120.5 (-110). I also really like targeting the Celtics team total. It was 227 for the first matchup and although Robinson also missed that game, Smart, who is worth a point or two to the under, played. ![]() First and foremost, the total of 226.5 is too low. There are lots of different ways we can attack this game. They've cleared 125 in another nine games. The Celtics have cleared 130 points in seven games this season, none of which even needed overtime. They'll likely be without Smart, who was 3-of-5 from deep in that previous matchup, but he is far from Boston's best 3-point weapon (33.3% this season). The Celtics will also be well rested as they sat several key members in their close loss to Miami earlier this week. One doesn't have to look far to imagine the Celtics mauling this Knicks defense, as Boston dropped 133 on New York in the first meeting between these teams back in November. Only the Warriors have taken more 3s this season and the Celtics rank eighth in the Association in terms of 3-point field goal percentage. The Celtics will love the chance to get up 3s. Due to the number of threes their opposition takes, the Knicks can be a very high variance team. On the flip side, when the opposition gets those looks and can't connect, the Knicks have held four teams to under 90. ![]() The Knicks have given up at least 130 points three times in regulation and another two times in overtime. New York is one of the better teams in terms of opponent 3-point percentage, but all those looks from deep can add up to some extreme results. ![]() Only the Houston Rockets give up a higher number of 3-pointers per 100 possessions than the Knicks this season. One area in which the Knicks consistently struggled in seasons past, and are struggling against in 2022-23, is limiting their opposition from deep. The most recent outing saw the Knicks put in a strong defensive effort, holding the Cleveland Cavaliers to just 103 points. In the first two such matchups, New York's opponents flew past their projected total (139 for the Atlanta Hawks and 125 for the Toronto Raptors). Robinson, the Knicks elite rim protector and best player in terms of on-off differential this season, has been out for the past three games. ![]()
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